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Azerbaijan and Italy: strategic partnership in geopolitics and energy

BAKU, Azerbaijan, September 7. Azerbaijan and Italy have cultivated one of the most dynamic and multifaceted partnerships in Europe, with ties deeply rooted in mutual strategic interests.

Over the years, this relationship has evolved into a cornerstone of cooperation, driven largely by energy and trade, making Azerbaijan a key player in Europe’s energy security and Italy one of its largest trade partners.

From Diplomacy to Economic Interdependence

Diplomatic relations between Azerbaijan and Italy were established in 1992, shortly after Azerbaijan gained independence from the Soviet Union. However, it was the energy sector that laid the foundation for their deepening cooperation. Italy’s energy needs, coupled with Azerbaijan’s vast oil and natural gas reserves, made their collaboration inevitable. A critical milestone came in 2014, when Italy became one of the largest importers of Azerbaijani crude oil via the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline. This set the stage for a strategic relationship that would only grow stronger over time.

In 2020, the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) began supplying Azerbaijani gas directly to Italy, further solidifying the bond. TAP, a key part of the Southern Gas Corridor (SGC), is crucial to Europe’s efforts to diversify its energy sources, especially as the continent seeks alternatives to Russian gas in light of ongoing geopolitical tensions.

A Snapshot of Trade: Facts and Figures

Italy has risen to become Azerbaijan’s top trading partner within the European Union, with energy exports as the cornerstone of this economic relationship. In 2023, the bilateral trade turnover between the two nations reached an impressive $11.5 billion, with Azerbaijani oil and gas accounting for nearly 80% of those exports. Italy, in turn, exports industrial machinery, luxury goods, and equipment to Azerbaijan, further diversifying the trade portfolio.

As of mid-2024, the trade relationship shows no signs of slowing down. Projections suggest that by year’s end, trade turnover could exceed $13 billion, driven by increased European energy demands and Azerbaijan’s capacity to deliver. Italian companies, such as Eni and Maire Tecnimont, have played instrumental roles in Azerbaijan’s energy sector, contributing to the country’s oil and gas development and infrastructure projects.

Beyond Energy: Expanding Political and Cultural Ties

While energy and trade are at the core of Azerbaijan-Italy relations, their cooperation extends beyond economic interests. Political collaboration has also flourished, with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni fostering strong diplomatic ties. The two leaders have frequently emphasized the strategic importance of their partnership, discussing expanded collaboration in agriculture, education, tourism, and cultural exchanges.

Italy’s support for Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has further strengthened political trust. Moreover, cultural ties have deepened, with a growing number of educational programs, cultural exhibitions, and tourism exchanges, fostering greater understanding between the two countries.

Energy Diplomacy: Securing Europe’s Future

Azerbaijan’s role as a major energy supplier to Italy has not only strengthened bilateral ties but also positioned Baku as a critical player in Europe’s energy security. The TAP pipeline, a crucial component of the Southern Gas Corridor, delivers 10 billion cubic meters of natural gas annually to Europe, with Italy as the largest recipient.

In a world where energy security has become a geopolitical priority, Azerbaijan’s ability to provide reliable energy supplies has earned it a pivotal role. The country’s growing collaboration with Italy on renewable energy projects, including solar and wind power, further underscores the potential for cooperation in green energy, aligning with Europe’s climate goals.

A Vision for the Future

As Azerbaijan and Italy look toward the future, there are numerous opportunities for expanding their partnership. Both countries are exploring ways to diversify their economies beyond traditional energy sources. Technology, innovation, and green energy offer exciting avenues for further collaboration.

Italy’s strategic location as a gateway to Europe and Azerbaijan’s role as a bridge between Europe and Asia open the door for increased cooperation in logistics and transportation. The Middle Corridor, connecting Europe and Asia through Azerbaijan, presents opportunities for deeper economic integration, with Italy positioned to play a key role in this transcontinental trade route.

Conclusion: A Partnership with Global Impact

The Azerbaijan-Italy relationship is a model of how strategic partnerships can thrive on the pillars of energy, trade, and political alignment. As the two countries continue to strengthen their ties, they are shaping not only their own futures but also contributing to the broader stability and prosperity of their regions. With both nations committed to expanding cooperation across multiple sectors, the Azerbaijan-Italy partnership is poised to become even more impactful on the global stage.

The growing relationship between Azerbaijan and Italy is emerging as a key strategic partnership with significant geopolitical and political ramifications. Built on a foundation of mutual interests and a shared vision for stability, this cooperation extends beyond energy and trade, influencing broader regional dynamics. As both nations navigate an increasingly complex global landscape, their partnership underscores the crucial role of energy security, regional diplomacy, and strategic alignment.

Energy Cooperation at the Core of Geopolitical Ties

Energy cooperation forms the backbone of Azerbaijan-Italy relations, a bond that has gained even more importance in today’s geopolitically charged environment. Azerbaijan, a key energy player at the crossroads of Europe and Asia, boasts vast reserves of oil and natural gas. Italy, one of Europe’s largest energy consumers, has actively sought to diversify its energy sources, reducing its dependency on Russian gas—a necessity amplified by recent geopolitical tensions.

Azerbaijan’s role in Europe’s energy future is pivotal, and Italy has positioned itself as a key partner in securing stable energy supplies. The Southern Gas Corridor (SGC) and, more specifically, the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline (TAP), lie at the heart of this partnership. TAP delivers Azerbaijani gas directly to Italy, ensuring a steady supply that enhances Europe’s energy security. This not only shifts the dynamics of European energy markets but also increases Azerbaijan’s geopolitical influence as a reliable energy supplier to the European Union.

Italy, by serving as a critical entry point for Azerbaijani gas, becomes a linchpin in Europe’s broader strategy to diversify its energy sources and reduce reliance on Moscow. As Europe seeks alternatives to Russian gas, the Azerbaijan-Italy energy alliance stands as a testament to strategic cooperation that benefits both nations and the entire continent.

Political Alignment and Diplomatic Cooperation

While energy remains at the core of their partnership, Azerbaijan and Italy have also deepened political ties. Regular high-level meetings, official state visits, and numerous bilateral agreements reflect a shared commitment to broadening cooperation. Crucially, Italy has consistently supported Azerbaijan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, particularly in the context of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. This political alignment has strengthened mutual trust and paved the way for more extensive collaboration on regional stability.

Italy’s position as a prominent member of the European Union further amplifies the political significance of this partnership. As Azerbaijan looks to strengthen its ties with the EU, Italy serves as a key advocate for deeper integration, particularly in energy policy and economic cooperation. By championing Azerbaijan’s interests in European institutions, Italy enhances its influence in the geopolitically significant South Caucasus, a region where global powers are increasingly vying for strategic footholds.

A Broader Strategic Imperative

The Azerbaijan-Italy partnership goes beyond energy and diplomacy, expanding into critical areas like infrastructure, agriculture, and cultural exchange. These sectors, while often less discussed, are vital for both nations as they look to future-proof their economies and ensure long-term stability.

Italian firms, such as Maire Tecnimont, have played a key role in Azerbaijan’s infrastructure development, particularly in energy and urban modernization projects. Azerbaijan’s diversification strategy, aimed at reducing its reliance on oil and gas, aligns well with Italy’s expertise in industrial technology and infrastructure. For Azerbaijan, Italy’s involvement is part of a broader strategy to modernize its economy and infrastructure, further strengthening its role as a hub between Europe and Asia.

For Italy, Azerbaijan presents a unique opportunity to increase its footprint in the South Caucasus and Central Asia, regions that are critical for global energy flows and emerging trade routes. Italy’s engagement in these areas enhances its geopolitical clout while ensuring access to strategic markets and resources.

Geopolitical Shifts and Global Implications

The Azerbaijan-Italy partnership is particularly significant given the broader shifts in global geopolitics. As tensions rise in Eastern Europe and competition between global powers intensifies, both Azerbaijan and Italy recognize the importance of solidifying their alliance. Azerbaijan, with its critical role in the energy market, is well-positioned to influence Europe’s energy landscape, particularly as the EU continues to reduce reliance on Russian gas.

Italy’s geopolitical strategy is closely aligned with this shift. The country sees Azerbaijan as a key player not only in energy but also in regional stability. The South Caucasus, a region that serves as a vital corridor for energy supplies to Europe, holds increasing importance for Italian foreign policy. By strengthening its ties with Azerbaijan, Italy gains a foothold in this strategic area, while contributing to broader efforts to stabilize the region.

On the global stage, both Azerbaijan and Italy have embraced multilateral diplomacy, recognizing the need for cooperative solutions to complex global issues. Italy, as a member of both the European Union and NATO, and Azerbaijan, as a participant in the Non-Aligned Movement and various international organizations, have found common ground on issues ranging from climate change to security and economic development. This shared commitment to multilateralism underscores the depth of their strategic cooperation.

Conclusion: A Model for Strategic Cooperation

The partnership between Azerbaijan and Italy serves as a model for how countries can build strategic relationships that balance energy security, political alignment, and regional diplomacy. As both nations continue to deepen their cooperation, their relationship is set to play a crucial role in shaping the geopolitical landscape of Europe and the South Caucasus.

By leveraging their respective strengths—Azerbaijan’s energy resources and Italy’s political influence within the EU—both nations are enhancing their positions on the global stage. This mutually beneficial partnership not only addresses the immediate needs of energy security and economic cooperation but also contributes to long-term regional stability and prosperity.

In an era of shifting alliances and growing global tensions, the Azerbaijan-Italy partnership stands out as a successful example of how strategic cooperation can help nations navigate an increasingly interconnected and competitive world.

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